Statistics and trends older than six months are redundant. A revolution is coming
Once I met a future scientist. He worked for a large international company and his job was to predict technology and lifestyle trends in relation to business. And not what will happen next week. Things that will happen for years and years to come.
I thought “Wow.” “This is the job you should have: the job you can never go wrong with. Or at least by the time you do, everyone will forget her. ”
So, with the competition over halfway through and with four long years left until the next match, what does the 2015 World Cup tell us about the future of 50+ games? What hints and jerks does he give? What directions will determine his gameplay?
Perhaps expecting the T20’s boosted speaker to outperform a model with over 50 may take longer than expected, but now that they’ve arrived, where are you going?
And here is the role of the future scientist:
Left-handed bowlers – new mysterious spinners
Left Armers are must-players at the 2015 World Cup: Mitch Stark, Mitch Johnson, Trent Bolt, Shapur Zadran and the rest of the players. Who among us doesn’t want one of them? Naturally, in the mid-80s of the last century, there were many merchants in England. Most likely, they will also plot several when the trend fades.
But the desire to use left-handed players is not really related to left-handed bowling. It’s about the difference. The history of cricket is also the history of changing the dynamics of the bat and the ball. It is like a clockwork, one gear turns the other and requires a reaction. For a while, one dominates until the other finds the answer. We are now in the era of bats, and leftists, like the mysterious stag in front of them, seem like a viable confrontation for batsmen trying to get into hitting range. Changing the angle requires a slightly different cognitive response (see here a blog post on the true cognitive switching required by baseball players trying to hit a female softball pitcher).
The multiplication game has gone through its technical revolution. I expect bowling to follow: new arm angles, higher tempos, and other types of swings and spins. Changes will come.
Multiplayer counts twice.
James Faulkner / Glenn Maxwell / André Russell’s universal value in T20 cricket is purely numerical play. The most valuable players are those who, with their basic skills, can influence the entire game as much as possible. As a simple example, the first batsman to also participate in tournaments may have a greater impact 20 hits (if he hits during innings) plus four bowling times – 60% of the match.
The equation is clearly more complex and unpredictable, but the value of the universality of the shortest is obvious. As the next generation of cricketers grows up and enters the academies, those with the broadest range of match-influencing skills will grow rapidly and orders 4 through 8 will be followed.
Statistics are meaningless
Admittedly, everyone but England seems to have realized this already, but the only statistics that count for this World Cup are those that show how quickly the game will change: like 162 out of 66 or the fact that the score David Warner 150 v. Afghanistan finished fifth in this tournament. He was in the last ten World Cup finals for only 12.
The carpet was pulled out from under all the tests, which are more than six months old. This is the speed at which the game changes. The previous record on Earth? Forget about me. Average number of startups in the last ten times? uselessly. To double the result to 30 more – yes, that’s right. The earthquake hit the experimental statistics base. Think of the following two quotes after Sri Lanka easily overtook England 309 at Wellington:
Eoin Morgan: “We were 25 above average and the statistics confirm that. The denomination here is about 275-280 … ”
Kumar Sangakkara: “We knew that ten more times in the last ten days it was comfortable.”
Four years from now, when the base is slightly rebuilt, the statistical analysis will be more about micro, not bottom line – small benefits of key points, rather than general numbers, such as bottom line and savings.
Points will decrease as well as higher
The new game is courage. Cricket has motivated the T20 to take risks, and this will take root in the minds of an entire generation of players. Given the level field and normal conditions, the need to score outweighs the need for a “decent” total to be recorded. You can also be ready for 150 challenges, like 230 digs. You will still lose. Just as the test cricket has lost so much of its draw-first mentality, so ODI will embrace the idea that all-out attack is the norm now. Both low and high marks will follow.
How many times has it been observed that when captains are forced to bring fielders to the track by the rules, a wicket is created because the batsman comes out trying to lift the ball across the court?
In cricket, as in most other sports, winning tendencies are often copied. It is hoped that the bold leadership of Clark, McCollum and Donnie will be replicated by other masters.
I sympathize with captains who have to deal with batsmen armed with deadly weapons, which often make the third option a more likely choice than the third miss. However, Clarke, McCollum, and Donnie have shown that when backed up by good bowling, finding a wicket during roles can be fruitful.
In addition to introducing incentive rules such as reduced court restrictions and more flexibility in bowler allowances, the way to improve driving is through proactive selection. If those who choose, choose and reward aggressive captains, and fire those who do not take the initiative, this will be a powerful signal for a potential master. For maximum success, this policy should be implemented from the bottom up (club, first class, international) rather than top to bottom.
A well-run ODI match should excite the fans and bring satisfaction to the players. The uniform will remain a viable product as long as the rules and captains encourage the enthusiasm of bats-and-ball competition and the number of teams of roughly equal opportunity will continue to grow.